Ambev Sa Adr Stock Performance

ABEV Stock  USD 3.11  0.09  2.81%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Ambev SA holds a performance score of 21. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.22, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Ambev SA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ambev SA is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Ambev SA's coefficient of variation, semi variance, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Ambev SA's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ambev SA ADR are ranked lower than 21 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak technical and fundamental indicators, Ambev SA showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(2.81)
Five Day Return
6.51
Year To Date Return
25.91
Ten Year Return
(29.64)
All Time Return
591.11
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0999
Payout Ratio
0.6308
Last Split Factor
5:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.31
Dividend Date
2026-01-09
1
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12/05/2025
2
What Does Wall Street Think About Ambev S.A.
12/09/2025
3
Stock Market Today, Dec. 23 Ambev Starts to Recover After Losing 4 percent This Month,
12/23/2025
4
Do Options Traders Know Something About Ambev Stock We Dont
12/26/2025
 
Ambev SA dividend paid on 9th of January 2026
01/09/2026
5
Ambev Q4 2025 Earnings Preview
02/11/2026
6
Ambev Non-GAAP EPS of R0.28 in-line, revenue of R24.81B beats by R210M initiates FY26
02/12/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow16.1 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-5.5 B

Ambev SA Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  240.00  in Ambev SA ADR on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  71.00  from holding Ambev SA ADR or generate 29.58% return on investment over 90 days. Ambev SA ADR is currently generating 0.4317% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.6179% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than Ambev, and 92% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ambev SA is expected to generate 2.12 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.12 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.27 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Ambev SA Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ambev Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.11 90 days 3.11 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ambev SA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ambev SA ADR probability density function shows the probability of Ambev Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ambev SA has a beta of 0.22. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ambev SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ambev SA ADR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ambev SA ADR has an alpha of 0.4415, implying that it can generate a 0.44 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ambev SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ambev SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ambev SA ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ambev SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.503.124.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.623.244.86
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.743.013.34
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.040.040.04
Details

Ambev SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ambev SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ambev SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ambev SA ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ambev SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio 0.24

Ambev SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ambev SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ambev SA ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ambev SA ADR is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 9th of January 2026 Ambev SA paid $ 0.1331 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Ambev Non-GAAP EPS of R0.28 in-line, revenue of R24.81B beats by R210M initiates FY26

Ambev SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ambev Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ambev SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ambev SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.8 B
Cash And Short Term Investments29.8 B

Ambev SA Fundamentals Growth

Ambev Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ambev SA, and Ambev SA fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ambev Stock performance.

About Ambev SA Performance

Evaluating Ambev SA's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Ambev SA has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Ambev SA has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 88.04  72.48 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.12  0.14 
Return On Capital Employed 0.19  0.17 
Return On Assets 0.08  0.09 
Return On Equity 0.17  0.24 

Things to note about Ambev SA ADR performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ambev SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ambev SA ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ambev SA ADR is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 9th of January 2026 Ambev SA paid $ 0.1331 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Ambev Non-GAAP EPS of R0.28 in-line, revenue of R24.81B beats by R210M initiates FY26
Evaluating Ambev SA's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ambev SA's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Ambev SA's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ambev SA's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ambev SA's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ambev SA's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ambev SA's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ambev SA's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ambev SA's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ambev SA's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ambev SA's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Ambev Stock Analysis

When running Ambev SA's price analysis, check to measure Ambev SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ambev SA is operating at the current time. Most of Ambev SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ambev SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ambev SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ambev SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.